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2010-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% -
Bradley-Terry 44.3% 55.7% -
Margin 33.0% 67.0% +3.9 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Efficiency 94.6% 5.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% -
Log Adjusted 52.2% 47.8% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins -2 (68-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter 39 11-20 7-9 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 29 11 -
M. Armstead 37 2-4 1-2 0-0 6 7 1 0 3 5 12 -
J. Jacob 33 7-13 0-0 5-8 10 0 0 0 1 19 15 -
E.J. Singler 32 1-7 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
L. Longmire 30 3-10 0-0 2-3 7 1 1 0 0 8 7 -
M. Humphrey 17 2-2 1-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
M. Dunigan 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
G. Sim 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Roll 38 9-16 6-12 1-1 4 1 1 0 2 25 13 -
M. Lee 37 8-14 0-3 2-3 3 2 0 0 4 18 5 -
N. Dragovic 34 3-8 1-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 7 1 -
T. Honeycutt 28 2-4 0-1 0-1 13 9 3 2 1 4 26 -
B. Lane 23 4-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 8 10 -
J. Anderson 23 1-2 0-1 1-1 0 4 0 0 2 3 3 -
M. Abdul-Hamid 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Morgan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter