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2010-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions Grambling Tigers Spread Result
Elo 84.9% 15.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 80.2% 19.8% - โœ“
Margin 88.0% 12.0% -10.9 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 72.9% 27.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.5% 7.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.7% 7.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 71.7% 28.3% - โœ“

Actual: Grambling Tigers -12 (56-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Smith 38 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 6 9 -
T. Calvin 36 1-3 0-0 7-8 10 4 1 0 6 9 15 -
G. Davis 19 4-7 0-0 1-3 5 0 1 0 1 9 7 -
R. Parks 19 1-5 0-1 0-2 6 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
T. Glass 18 4-7 0-1 6-9 3 4 0 0 3 14 11 -
G. Montgomery 18 3-6 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 8 2 -
A. Ootesey 12 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Kennedy 7 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 6 3 -
A. Lasker 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
S. Collins 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
H. Barnett 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
D. Moore 2 0-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 -

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Qualls 40 2-9 1-4 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 7 0 -
A. Perkins 23 1-3 0-0 3-5 1 0 0 1 0 5 4 -
T. Bryson 22 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 3 0 1 4 7 -
G. Dillon 20 3-10 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 4 7 -2 -
R. Rose 19 2-5 1-1 11-14 2 1 1 0 0 16 15 -
K. Loyd 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 2 1 -
A. Saint-Gelais 16 1-1 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
G. Akpele 11 0-3 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 4 0 -2 -
T. Young-Canty 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Harris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter