Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +6 (73-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 36 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| A. Ogide | 34 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 24 | - |
| T. Busch | 33 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Franklin | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Nigon | 28 | 4-12 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| P. Hornung | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| G. Smith | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. McFarland | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Perry | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Ruzgas | 38 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| R. Moss | 31 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Z. Buljan | 30 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 3-7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| G. Green | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| G. Hill | 27 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Butler | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Mitchem | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| L. Lancon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter