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2010-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs South Carolina Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 63.7% 36.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 55.3% 44.7% - โœ“
Margin 54.7% 45.3% -1.0 โœ“ (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 69.2% 30.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“

Actual: South Carolina Gamecocks -13 (63-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stewart 39 6-12 5-7 1-2 4 5 3 0 2 18 16 -
D. Bost 38 4-10 1-4 2-2 2 7 0 0 2 11 8 -
J. Varnado 37 8-13 0-0 3-4 12 0 1 1 1 19 19 -
R. Johnson 37 5-11 3-8 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 15 9 -
K. Augustus 35 3-6 1-2 6-8 9 0 0 0 4 13 12 -
P. Turner 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
R. Osby 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Benock 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Muldrow 37 6-12 1-1 2-2 3 0 1 2 1 15 8 -
L. Jackson 36 5-9 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 0 0 10 12 -
B. Raley-Ross 36 4-10 4-9 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 12 9 -
D. Downey 36 5-14 0-7 2-3 3 5 1 0 5 12 2 -
R. Galloway 30 6-15 2-11 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 14 4 -
J. Jefferson 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
S. Spinella 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter