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2010-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 86.3% 13.7% -
Bradley-Terry 56.2% 43.8% -
Margin 52.0% 48.0% -0.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 56.6% 43.4% -
Efficiency 90.4% 9.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.2% 42.8% -
Log Adjusted 57.2% 42.8% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs +11 (94-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Coleman 40 9-22 4-10 8-8 9 6 3 0 0 30 26 -
K. Lewis 40 4-9 1-1 4-4 5 2 1 0 0 13 12 -
D. Wade 33 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 4 1 0 3 2 2 -
K. Van Slyke 26 5-11 4-8 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 14 6 -
S. Coleman 18 2-5 1-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 5 5 -
K. Washington 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 0 -
M. McNeil 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 2 0 1 -
A. Brown 11 6-9 5-8 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 17 8 -
N. Haywood 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Broughton 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams 40 5-11 3-4 5-6 6 8 2 0 4 18 19 -
P. Dia 36 11-13 0-0 9-11 12 2 1 2 6 31 29 -
R. Clinkscales 36 4-7 4-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 12 7 -
R. Nyakundi 36 4-8 3-5 7-8 6 1 1 1 1 18 18 -
M. Faye 30 4-13 3-6 0-0 10 1 0 0 1 11 8 -
J. Haynes 15 1-2 0-0 2-4 1 0 2 0 2 4 3 -
M. Walker 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
F. Otis 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
M. Luttman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter