Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -9 (44-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 34 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -4 | - |
| R. Morgan | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 16 | - |
| D. Summers | 31 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Allen | 29 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| D. Green | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| K. Lucious | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Roe | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Nix | 9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Thornton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Sherman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Kebler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kramer | 36 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 34 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| E. Moore | 32 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| K. Grant | 30 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| L. Jackson | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Barlow | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Bade | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Hart | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter