Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.7% | 43.3% | -1.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +13 (68-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Trasolini | 34 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Santos | 33 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| R. Smith | 32 | 1-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -12 | - |
| T. Payne | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| B. Dowdell | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Cowels III | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| N. Harrison | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Cunningham | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Alexander | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| P. Bach | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Campbell | 37 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| J. Stohl | 34 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Sikma | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 21 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Knutson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Ito | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter