Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +6 (61-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Phillips | 39 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 36 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | - |
| T. Lewis | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| A. Hill | 24 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| A. Rubin | 18 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Thornton | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Clark | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Mishler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Farokhmanesh | 35 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Moran | 34 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Ahelegbe | 28 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Koch | 28 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| J. Eglseder | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| L. O'Rear | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| K. Dunham | 14 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Koch | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Sonnen | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter