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2010-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 42.6% 57.4% -
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% -
Margin 21.5% 78.5% +7.1 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 33.5% 66.5% -
Efficiency 26.5% 73.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% -
Log Adjusted 3.0% 97.0% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +6 (61-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Phillips 39 3-8 3-7 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 9 6 -
O. Eldridge 36 5-12 2-6 2-4 3 1 1 0 4 14 3 -
T. Lewis 29 3-4 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 1 0 6 14 -
A. Hill 24 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 6 1 -
D. Odiakosa 24 4-8 0-0 4-5 9 2 0 1 4 12 12 -
A. Rubin 18 1-7 1-7 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -5 -
J. Carmichael 16 2-5 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 4 3 5 2 -
K. Thornton 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Clark 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Mishler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Farokhmanesh 35 2-7 1-4 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 5 1 -
J. Moran 34 1-7 1-3 4-4 7 2 0 0 2 7 7 -
K. Ahelegbe 28 1-6 1-3 7-8 1 3 1 0 3 10 6 -
A. Koch 28 5-11 0-2 2-2 5 1 0 1 3 12 5 -
J. Eglseder 25 5-10 0-0 3-4 6 2 1 1 0 13 13 -
L. O'Rear 15 0-0 0-0 0-1 4 2 1 0 1 0 6 -
K. Dunham 14 3-3 3-3 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 10 9 -
J. Koch 11 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
M. Sonnen 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter