Model Predictions
| Model | Iona Gaels | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +17 (71-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iona Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Machado | 27 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | - |
| K. Smyth | 25 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 25 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Huffman | 19 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. McFadden | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Pelcher | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| T. Fields | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. McGill | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Prodanovic | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Mockford | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Keshawn Williams | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Needham | 37 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| A. Johnson | 31 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 27 | - |
| J. Turner | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Crawford | 24 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Evanovich | 22 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| R. Olander | 21 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Nickerson | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Jordan | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. O'Sullivan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Martin | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Grzeck | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter