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2010-02-27

Model Predictions

Model UMass Minutemen Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 8.3% 91.7% -
Bradley-Terry 20.5% 79.5% -
Margin 10.9% 89.1% +11.5 (16.5 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers +28 (96-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Harris 34 3-15 1-6 2-4 2 1 0 0 3 9 -6 -
F. Riley 26 4-6 4-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 12 7 -
S. Carter 25 3-6 0-0 4-6 6 0 3 0 0 10 13 -
A. Gurley 23 3-9 0-4 4-4 2 1 0 0 2 10 2 -
T. Vinson 21 6-10 1-2 3-4 2 3 0 0 2 16 9 -
J. Farrell 21 3-7 0-0 3-4 2 0 2 0 1 9 5 -
S. Carter 20 0-5 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
G. Correia 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
M. Hill 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 -
T. Lang 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
L. Mongo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wright 26 5-10 0-2 4-5 6 3 1 1 3 14 12 -
R. Lowery 24 5-8 3-5 0-1 2 5 1 0 2 13 11 -
C. Johnson 21 3-9 2-8 3-3 2 1 0 2 0 11 7 -
M. Perry 19 5-7 5-7 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 15 9 -
K. Huelsman 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
P. Williams 18 2-3 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
L. Warren 17 2-2 0-0 2-4 8 8 1 0 0 6 21 -
M. Johnson 17 5-7 1-2 0-1 3 5 0 0 0 11 12 -
D. Searcy 14 3-5 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 0 1 10 10 -
J. Benson 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
L. Fabrizius 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Kavanaugh 3 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
D. Fox 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Zestermann 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Hendrick 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Nourse 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter