Model Predictions
| Model | UMass Minutemen | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.9% | 89.1% | +11.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +28 (96-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Harris | 34 | 3-15 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -6 | - |
| F. Riley | 26 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| S. Carter | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| A. Gurley | 23 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| T. Vinson | 21 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Farrell | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| S. Carter | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Correia | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Hill | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Lang | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Mongo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wright | 26 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| R. Lowery | 24 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| C. Johnson | 21 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Perry | 19 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P. Williams | 18 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Warren | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | - |
| M. Johnson | 17 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| D. Searcy | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Benson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Kavanaugh | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Fox | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Zestermann | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Hendrick | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Nourse | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter