Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.0% | 17.0% | -8.7 | ✓ (21.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -30 (47-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Bellfield | 30 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| C. Stanback | 29 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| A. Marshall | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| T. Willis | 24 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Wallace | 23 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| B. Massamba | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Santee | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Washington | 31 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Lyons | 27 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Fletcher | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| G. Parker | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. McLain | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Stewart | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Bohannon | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Fow | 14 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Merriex | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Brooks | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Broekhuis | 6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter