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2010-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 57.2% 42.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.1% 66.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.7% 91.3% -
Log Adjusted 8.7% 91.3% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +11 (66-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Douglass 37 4-6 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 10 5 -
Z. Novak 36 3-8 2-4 3-5 3 0 2 0 1 11 7 -
M. Harris 35 1-8 0-5 8-9 3 3 0 0 3 10 5 -
D. Sims 32 4-12 0-2 3-4 6 0 2 0 1 11 6 -
D. Morris 29 4-8 1-1 2-2 3 3 0 0 1 11 8 -
L. Lucas-Perry 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Z. Gibson 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
M. Vogrich 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Wright 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Buford 40 9-15 3-3 3-4 9 4 0 0 0 24 22 -
J. Diebler 40 1-7 1-7 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
E. Turner 39 8-11 0-0 2-3 11 7 1 4 8 18 22 -
D. Lighty 34 2-4 0-0 3-8 6 4 0 0 1 7 12 -
D. Lauderdale 31 7-9 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 14 8 -
K. Madsen 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Simmons 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
P.J. Hill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter