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2010-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 29.9% 70.1% -
Bradley-Terry 13.3% 86.7% -
Margin 5.7% 94.3% +15.4 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% -
Efficiency 95.8% 4.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.8% 39.2% -
Log Adjusted 60.8% 39.2% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +11 (82-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Maniscalco 40 1-7 0-1 1-1 1 2 2 0 0 3 1 -
T. Brown 35 12-21 1-3 2-4 8 2 1 1 2 27 16 -
D. Simms-Edwards 31 2-10 0-2 0-0 5 3 2 0 2 4 2 -
S. Singh 24 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 4 4 -
C. Roberts 22 1-4 1-2 2-2 5 3 0 0 1 5 8 -
A. Warren 22 2-7 1-5 6-6 3 1 0 0 4 11 4 -
J. Eastman 19 3-5 1-2 6-6 3 0 1 0 0 13 12 -
W. Egolf 7 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 1 0 4 3 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Carter 34 5-10 2-2 5-6 6 3 0 0 3 17 13 -
A. Young 32 4-9 0-1 4-4 5 8 2 0 2 12 16 -
K. Lawson Jr. 25 6-7 1-1 7-8 8 0 1 2 0 20 24 -
C. Witter 21 2-4 2-4 2-2 1 3 0 0 3 8 5 -
C. Harriman 19 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Jones 18 3-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
D. Ashford 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -
W. Runnels 15 1-2 0-0 3-4 4 1 1 2 1 5 10 -
E. Wragge 12 4-7 4-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 12 7 -
K. Korver 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter