Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.3% | 25.7% | -5.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -9 (68-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Drew II | 33 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4-12 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| L. McDonald | 23 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| W. Graves | 23 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Thompson | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Henson | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 20 | - |
| D. Strickland | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Zeller | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Wear | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Smith | 39 | 5-21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| A. Aminu | 32 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| L.D. Williams | 28 | 3-13 | 1-2 | 7-10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| G. Clark | 22 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Stewart | 20 | 6-16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| C. McFarland | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| D. Weaver | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Harris | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Woods | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
* = starter