Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies -6 (67-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Rush | 38 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| W. Bynum | 37 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 12-17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 23 | - |
| B. Howard | 35 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| B. Johnson | 34 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 31 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Navarre | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Henderson | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 39 | 9-14 | 4-6 | 9-12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 17 | - |
| D. Selvig | 36 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| R. Staudacher | 34 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| W. Cherry | 22 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. McGillis | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Taylor | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Qvale | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| R. Young | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| V. Banny | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter