Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -14 (59-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 38 | 6-14 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 5 | - |
| G. Rogers | 33 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 27 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| N. Larson | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Jones | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Lepley | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Wallace | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Eller | 34 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 16 | - |
| S. Toles-Bey | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Dickson | 26 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Bjegovic | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| A. Flaggs | 21 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Marcial | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Daniel | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Selling | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Stigall | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Malloy | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter