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2010-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% -
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% -
Margin 24.1% 75.9% +6.3 (23.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.4% 41.6% -
Efficiency 91.8% 8.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% -
Log Adjusted 60.5% 39.5% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -17 (72-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor 28 6-10 0-0 6-6 5 2 0 0 1 18 14 -
J. Beal 27 3-11 0-2 0-0 0 4 1 0 2 6 -2 -
J. Jenkins 26 5-8 3-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 13 10 -
S. Tchiengang 24 2-4 0-1 0-2 5 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
B. Tinsley 22 2-4 1-2 8-8 6 4 0 0 2 13 17 -
D. McClellan 20 5-7 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 11 8 -
A.J. Ogilvy 14 5-7 0-0 4-5 6 1 0 2 3 14 13 -
L. Goulbourne 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 -
A. Walker 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
F. Ezeli 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
J. Smart 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
J. Duffy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Meriwether 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Noll 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Fortson 34 3-15 1-4 1-2 4 8 0 0 5 8 0 -
R. Clarke 31 5-14 4-12 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 14 2 -
M. Powell 31 12-21 1-2 2-5 9 2 1 2 2 27 18 -
M. Washington 22 3-8 0-0 5-9 13 1 1 0 1 11 17 -
M. Britt 18 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 2 1 -
D. Johnson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Farmer 15 1-4 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
S. Welsh 12 2-4 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -1 -
G. Bryant 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Nobles 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 2 -

* = starter