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2010-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 74.7% 25.3% -8.4 โœ“ (8.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 76.6% 23.4% - โœ“
Margin 76.6% 23.4% -6.5 โœ“ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.2% 16.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.4% 16.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 63.7% 36.3% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -17 (72-89). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeffery Taylor * 28 6-10 0-0 6-6 5 2 0 0 1 18 14 -
J. Beal * 27 3-11 0-2 0-0 0 4 1 0 2 6 -2 -
John Jenkins * 26 5-8 3-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 13 10 -
A.J. Ogilvy * 14 5-7 0-0 4-5 6 1 0 2 3 14 13 -
A. Walker * 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
Steve Tchiengang 24 2-4 0-1 0-2 5 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
Brad Tinsley 22 2-4 1-2 8-8 6 4 0 0 2 13 17 -
D. McClellan 20 5-7 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 11 8 -
Lance Goulbourne 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 -
Festus Ezeli 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Jordan Smart 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Joe Duffy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Chris Meriwether 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Aaron Noll 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Courtney Fortson * 34 3-15 1-4 1-2 4 8 0 0 5 8 0 -
Rotnei Clarke * 31 5-14 4-12 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 14 2 -
Marshawn Powell * 31 12-21 1-2 2-5 9 2 1 2 2 27 18 -
M. Britt * 18 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 2 1 -
Delvon Johnson * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
M. Washington 22 3-8 0-0 5-9 13 1 1 0 1 11 17 -
Jemal Farmer 15 1-4 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
S. Welsh 12 2-4 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -1 -
Glenn Bryant 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Julysses Nobles 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 2 -

* = starter