Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | +2.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +15 (74-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Spencer | 38 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| S. Warren | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Z. Kinsley | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Harris | 24 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Bass | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Ludwig | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Populist | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Green | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| C. Beattie | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Dotson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Reed | 36 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| T. Waller | 35 | 8-13 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 17 | - |
| E. Ross | 29 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Knox | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Malone | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Lett | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Gabriel | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Williams | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Armstrong | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Wallace | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Neysmith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter