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2010-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 79.5% 20.5% -
Bradley-Terry 73.7% 26.3% -
Margin 75.2% 24.8% -6.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 92.4% 7.6% -
Efficiency 90.8% 9.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.7% 5.3% -
Log Adjusted 94.7% 5.3% -

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -10 (45-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Zampier 35 4-15 0-7 1-1 4 2 0 0 4 9 -4 -
M. Sands 33 4-8 0-0 3-4 11 1 1 0 4 11 12 -
P. Braswell 33 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 2 2 0 0 5 9 -
A. Morgan 28 4-6 3-5 3-5 5 2 2 0 1 14 16 -
P. Nelson 25 1-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 5 2 -1 -
G. Mangano 13 1-4 0-1 2-4 4 0 0 2 2 4 4 -
R. Willhite 9 2-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
R. Mantilla 9 0-0 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
R. Anderson 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Grace 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Weeden 33 2-8 0-0 2-2 7 2 1 1 4 6 5 -
R. Pride 29 4-9 2-4 3-4 7 0 1 0 2 13 10 -
J. Trotter 25 3-9 1-3 2-2 3 1 2 0 3 9 3 -
R. Dixon 25 2-9 0-2 4-4 7 3 1 0 1 8 9 -
M. Ghogomu 22 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 1 -2 -
D. Rufful 19 0-5 0-2 2-2 4 0 2 0 3 2 0 -
K. Crecco 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -
M. LaBove 15 2-5 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 2 1 4 5 -
H. Kouna 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 0 -
J. Riddle 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R.J. Griffin 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter