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2010-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 43.3% 56.7% -
Bradley-Terry 21.2% 78.8% -
Margin 12.0% 88.0% +11.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 14.3% 85.7% -
Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.7% 93.3% -
Log Adjusted 6.6% 93.4% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +20 (91-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Leffelman 32 7-8 2-3 3-3 1 0 0 0 1 19 11 -
A. McCarthy 27 5-9 0-0 2-2 3 3 0 1 2 12 8 -
M. Mullery 27 3-5 0-2 3-7 4 6 0 2 0 9 16 -
M. Sullivan 26 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 0 -4 -
P. Sullivan 26 5-9 1-3 7-7 4 0 0 0 3 18 10 -
A. Williams 22 2-5 2-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
C. Taylor 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
S. Gruber 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
T. Halpern 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 0 -4 -
M. Coleman 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 2 1 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. McNally 28 5-7 4-6 0-0 3 4 2 0 2 14 14 -
J. Lin 27 2-5 0-0 4-6 6 7 2 1 0 8 19 -
B. Curry 26 8-10 4-5 1-1 4 5 5 0 4 21 21 -
C. Webster 21 4-6 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 11 7 -
K. Casey 21 2-4 1-2 1-1 1 1 0 1 2 6 3 -
K. Wright 18 5-9 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 10 10 -
M. Kenyi 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 6 4 -
P. Magnarelli 17 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 8 4 -
D. Miller 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
D. Giger 11 2-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
D. McGeary 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Georgatos 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. de Mars 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter