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2010-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 11.8% 88.2% +12.9 โœ“ (7.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 10.5% 89.5% - โœ“
Margin 5.1% 94.9% +16.1 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 22.2% 77.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.2% 96.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.1% 96.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.8% 80.2% - โœ“

Actual: Harvard Crimson +20 (91-71). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Garrett Leffelman * 32 7-8 2-3 3-3 1 0 0 0 1 19 11 -
Andrew McCarthy * 27 5-9 0-0 2-2 3 3 0 1 2 12 8 -
Matt Mullery * 27 3-5 0-2 3-7 4 6 0 2 0 9 16 -
Matt Sullivan * 26 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 0 -4 -
Peter Sullivan * 26 5-9 1-3 7-7 4 0 0 0 3 18 10 -
Adrian Williams 22 2-5 2-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
Chris Taylor 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Steve Gruber 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
Tucker Halpern 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 0 -4 -
Marques Coleman 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 2 1 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Lin * 27 2-5 0-0 4-6 6 7 2 1 0 8 19 -
Brandyn Curry * 26 8-10 4-5 1-1 4 5 5 0 4 21 21 -
Kyle Casey * 21 2-4 1-2 1-1 1 1 0 1 2 6 3 -
Max Kenyi * 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 6 4 -
Doug Miller * 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Oliver McNally 28 5-7 4-6 0-0 3 4 2 0 2 14 14 -
Christian Webster 21 4-6 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 11 7 -
Keith Wright 18 5-9 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 10 10 -
Pat Magnarelli 17 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 8 4 -
Dee Giger 11 2-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
Dan McGeary 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jeff Georgatos 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Spencer de Mars 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter