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2010-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 16.9% 83.1% -
Bradley-Terry 56.2% 43.8% -
Margin 51.1% 48.9% -0.3 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% -
Efficiency 74.4% 25.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% -
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% -

Actual: USC Trojans -10 (44-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter 40 5-15 1-3 5-6 3 3 4 0 0 16 11 -
J. Jacob 32 3-6 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 2 6 1 -
M. Armstead 30 3-10 0-0 1-2 5 3 1 0 3 7 3 -
E.J. Singler 26 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
L. Longmire 25 3-7 0-1 7-9 4 0 1 0 1 13 10 -
G. Sim 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 1 0 0 3 -
M. Dunigan 12 0-0 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
M. Humphrey 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 3 4 -
J. Wilson 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Crittle 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gerrity 39 0-7 0-6 0-0 4 6 0 0 4 0 -1 -
D. Lewis 38 3-14 2-10 0-0 3 3 2 0 3 8 -1 -
M. Johnson 36 5-17 2-4 0-2 4 0 2 0 3 12 -2 -
N. Vucevic 32 2-7 0-0 1-2 16 0 0 4 1 5 17 -
A. Stepheson 27 5-7 0-0 0-1 13 0 0 0 0 10 16 -
M. Simmons 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
L. Washington 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 4 4 -
D. Smith 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -

* = starter