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2010-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 13.4% 86.6% -
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% -
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% -
Efficiency 54.2% 45.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.5% 41.5% -
Log Adjusted 58.5% 41.5% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +9 (65-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Tarver 34 3-7 0-0 1-2 3 2 2 0 2 7 5 -
C. Haynes 34 4-15 2-9 4-4 3 3 2 0 5 14 2 -
J. Burton 32 5-10 0-0 3-4 12 1 0 1 1 13 16 -
J. Cunningham 19 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 6 3 -
K. McShane 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
L. Wallace 18 3-11 1-7 4-4 5 0 1 0 1 11 5 -
R. Schaftenaar 18 1-6 0-2 1-1 5 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
J. Tarver 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
O. Johnson 9 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
D. Deane 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Roll 38 1-6 1-6 0-0 2 7 0 0 3 3 3 -
M. Lee 36 6-10 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 13 6 -
N. Dragovic 35 4-9 2-6 4-4 2 1 0 0 0 14 8 -
T. Honeycutt 34 7-10 2-2 2-4 10 4 3 5 3 18 27 -
J. Anderson 32 3-6 0-1 2-5 3 4 1 0 2 8 8 -
M. Abdul-Hamid 13 2-3 0-1 1-1 2 3 1 0 2 5 6 -
J. Morgan 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 4 2 -

* = starter