Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.2% | 41.8% | -1.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Covington | 36 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 13-13 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 31 | - |
| J. Crutcher | 33 | 2-13 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| W. Peters | 29 | 4-12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| T. Fredrick | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| M. Buie | 28 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Nobles | 20 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| L. Funderburke | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Cowan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| G. Holley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Smith | 40 | 9-23 | 5-14 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 17 | - |
| A. Allison | 34 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| S. Pearson | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Maxwell | 23 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| C. Butler | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Hill | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| L. Miles | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| L. Russell | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Thompson | 7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Banks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter