Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.J. Kusnyer | 33 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Emerson | 33 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Smith | 30 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 1 | - |
| B. Mills | 26 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| B. Moore | 22 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Walker | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Hall | 19 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T. Swann | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Pulkauninkas | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hedgepeth | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| K. Johnson | 30 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| I. Clark | 28 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. House | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Belcher | 26 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Campbell | 19 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| D. Hanlen | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Baker | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Saunders | 9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Noack | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Barnes | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter