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2010-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 60.6% 39.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 (36.5 off)
Pythagorean 79.8% 20.2% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.1% 4.9% -
Log Adjusted 95.2% 4.8% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -32 (46-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bohannon 35 3-4 0-0 5-6 2 3 0 0 5 11 7 -
K. Nankivil 32 6-7 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 4 1 14 13 -
T. Hughes 28 6-9 3-4 2-3 2 1 1 0 1 17 11 -
J. Leuer 26 6-14 1-2 0-0 7 3 1 4 1 13 13 -
J. Taylor 26 5-11 1-2 2-2 5 4 3 0 3 13 11 -
R. Wilson 17 2-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 0 -
T. Jarmusz 15 1-1 1-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 5 7 -
R. Evans 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 0 4 -
M. Bruesewitz 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 4 -
W. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Valentyn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Jones III 32 2-10 0-1 4-8 3 3 1 1 5 8 1 -
J. Rivers 27 1-5 0-0 1-2 3 4 2 1 3 3 5 -
C. Watford 26 3-8 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 8 5 -
J. Hulls 25 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 -2 -
D. Dumes 25 1-6 0-0 1-3 2 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
T. Pritchard 21 2-4 0-0 0-2 3 0 2 0 2 4 3 -
B. Capobianco 18 2-5 0-1 0-1 4 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
D. Elston 18 5-6 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 1 2 12 12 -
D. Moore 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 -

* = starter