Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | -0.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +17 (74-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gatens | 37 | 4-13 | 0-6 | 7-9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| E. May | 33 | 4-11 | 0-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Payne | 33 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| D. Bawinkel | 25 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Fuller | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Cole | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Cougill | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Brommer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Lickliter | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| N. Neari | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nash | 36 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| J. Shurna | 35 | 10-14 | 4-6 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 23 | - |
| M. Thompson | 35 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Crawford | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Capocci | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Curletti | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Rowley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Nichols | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Hearn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Fruendt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter