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2010-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern State Demons UTSA Roadrunners Spread Result
Elo 36.6% 63.4% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 18.9% 81.1% +8.0 (6.0 off)

Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +14 (88-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Baker 31 8-17 1-6 3-4 0 4 1 0 0 20 8 -
D. Jones 31 5-13 3-7 1-2 5 1 2 0 0 14 9 -
W. Mosley 29 2-2 0-0 3-6 9 1 2 4 0 7 21 -
M. McConathy 25 1-2 1-2 3-4 0 3 1 0 0 6 8 -
W. Pratt 22 5-8 1-2 2-4 5 1 0 1 2 13 10 -
S. Davis 18 0-4 0-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 3 2 -1 -
D. Knight 14 1-3 0-0 4-5 5 0 0 0 2 6 6 -
J. Hulbin 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
C. Clark 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
A. Brooks 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
L. McConathy 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
O.J. Evans 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Dixon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UTSA Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gibson 37 2-9 1-4 8-11 5 6 0 1 2 13 14 -
O. Johnson 36 4-9 3-5 10-10 1 9 1 0 2 21 21 -
M. Smith IV 32 7-12 3-5 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 17 10 -
L. Jackson 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 0 1 4 11 -
T. Fields 19 3-4 0-0 4-4 7 1 0 0 0 10 14 -
J. Bonney 18 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 6 7 -
D. Stepter 17 5-5 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 11 11 -
M. Johnson III 13 2-10 1-7 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 6 -3 -
R. Frohlich 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Paye 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter