Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen -3 (77-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Moldoveanu | 43 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 10-11 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 19 | - |
| S. Lumpkins | 39 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 22 | - |
| S. McCormack | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| S. Luptak | 35 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Hendra | 28 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Munoz | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Wilson | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Grafft | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Hill | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sugars | 46 | 8-16 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 20 | - |
| C. Harris | 43 | 11-22 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 11 | - |
| R. Garcia | 42 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| O.J. Avworo | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T.J. Topercer | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Smith | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| G. Brown | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Connolly | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Wilson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Newsome | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Brooks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Veazey | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter