Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +2.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +17 (75-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Printy | 34 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C. Richard | 34 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| R. Reed | 33 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -8 | - |
| K. Doluony | 22 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Carter | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| H. Marshall | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Lathan | 16 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Crawford | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Martin | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Leitnaker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Phillips | 33 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 33 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 23 | - |
| A. Rubin | 31 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Lewis | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 20 | - |
| A. Hill | 17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Clark | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Thornton | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Mishler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter