Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Brock | 37 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Torrance | 33 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| C. Hines | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | - |
| S. Hillman | 29 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| C. Davis | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Knox | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Green | 16 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bost | 34 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 17 | - |
| J. Varnado | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 23 | - |
| R. Johnson | 29 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| B. Stewart | 28 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| K. Augustus | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| R. Benock | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Osby | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| P. Turner | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| W. Lewis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Parker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Luczak | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter