Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -10 (67-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Singleton | 35 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| R. Reid | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | - |
| D. Kitchen | 33 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 18 | - |
| M. Snaer | 28 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Dulkys | 22 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| L. Loucks | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Alabi | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| X. Gibson | 11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Shannon | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Drew II | 33 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| W. Graves | 31 | 6-13 | 5-12 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 13 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| D. Thompson | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Henson | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Zeller | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Strickland | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. McDonald | 16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Watts | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter