Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | +1.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +11 (65-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fortson | 36 | 6-18 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 4 | - |
| R. Clarke | 35 | 5-14 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| D. Johnson | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| S. Welsh | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Powell | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | - |
| G. Bryant | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Farmer | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Britt | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Cox | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell | 40 | 5-14 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| B. Spencer | 39 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| S. Warren | 32 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Populist | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Z. Kinsley | 22 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Bass | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - |
| G. Green | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Harris | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| E. Ludwig | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter