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2010-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 17.0% 83.0% -
Bradley-Terry 69.9% 30.1% -
Margin 74.4% 25.6% -5.9 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.1% 44.9% -
Efficiency 18.7% 81.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.9% 29.1% -
Log Adjusted 70.9% 29.1% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +2 (75-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Murry 37 6-16 2-6 1-1 2 3 2 0 1 15 5 -
G. Hatch 36 4-10 4-10 0-0 1 4 0 0 4 12 3 -
J.T. Durley 33 5-7 0-1 3-4 13 2 0 0 2 13 19 -
C. Hannah 28 5-9 3-6 2-2 3 5 2 0 1 15 15 -
G. Stutz 25 3-6 0-0 6-6 7 1 1 0 3 12 12 -
D. Williams 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 3 0 0 5 8 -
A. Ellis 15 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
M. Felter 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
K. Manigault 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Maniscalco 39 4-9 4-7 7-7 3 10 2 1 0 19 26 -
A. Warren 35 7-9 3-4 1-2 5 2 0 0 4 18 12 -
C. Roberts 29 3-6 1-3 2-4 1 0 1 1 1 9 5 -
D. Simms-Edwards 24 3-5 2-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 3 10 5 -
W. Egolf 22 1-3 0-0 4-4 1 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
T. Brown 22 4-10 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 11 4 -
S. Singh 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Eastman 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter