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Northern Iowa Panthers 54
@
Evansville Purple Aces 55
2010-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 57.9% 42.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 66.9% 33.1% - ✗
Margin 70.9% 29.1% -4.9 ✗ (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 83.0% 17.0% - ✗
Efficiency 36.3% 63.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 96.2% 3.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 96.2% 3.8% - ✗

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +1 (55-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Farokhmanesh 38 2-8 1-7 2-2 3 1 1 0 3 7 1 -
J. Moran 34 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 3 1 -
J. Koch 27 5-10 2-4 10-10 10 0 1 1 0 22 24 -
K. Dunham 24 0-4 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Koch 24 6-11 1-3 1-2 5 0 0 0 4 14 4 -
L. O'Rear 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 4 4 2 -
K. Ahelegbe 18 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 1 2 2 0 -
M. Sonnen 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Rodenberg 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. James 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Ryan 32 2-7 2-5 4-5 2 3 0 0 1 10 7 -
D. Holmes 31 4-9 0-2 0-3 5 1 0 0 2 8 3 -
K. Lacey 29 4-8 1-1 2-2 3 5 2 0 1 11 12 -
J. Haarsma 28 4-4 0-0 4-5 8 2 0 0 2 12 16 -
P. van Tongeren 24 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
N. Cox 23 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 -2 -
C. Hopf 13 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 2 1 -
T. Taylor 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
L. Jones 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Gregory 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter