Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +7.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -7 (44-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis | 38 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| D. McCamey | 37 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 13 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 37 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D.J. Richardson | 37 | 2-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Cole | 28 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| B. Paul | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Jordan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Griffey | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Keller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harris | 38 | 5-17 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| S. Douglass | 36 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Z. Novak | 33 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| D. Morris | 31 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Sims | 27 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 20 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| L. Lucas-Perry | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Vogrich | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter