Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.3% | 20.7% | -7.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -6 (66-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Martinez | 36 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| D. Gary | 36 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| D. Hobson | 36 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 8-12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| P. McDonald | 30 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| W. Brown | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Adams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Fenton | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Garth | 7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| C. Dennis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 40 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Nigon | 30 | 6-14 | 6-13 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - |
| T. Franklin | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Ogide | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| G. Smith | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| P. Hornung | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| H. Perry | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Busch | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter