Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.6% | 33.4% | -3.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -1 (58-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Monroe | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Harvin | 0 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| B. Chappell | 0 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Ward | 0 | 10-14 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 15 | - |
| A. Gray | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Gerson | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Wright | 0 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 10 | - |
| S. Egwu | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| C. Shine | 0 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Moorer | 0 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
* = starter