Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.0% | 26.0% | -5.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -19 (82-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 34 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 34 | 12-22 | 0-4 | 8-10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 20 | - |
| E. de Souza | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| I. Castro | 28 | 11-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 11 | - |
| S. Lehning | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| K. Miller | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Herrington | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Bales | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Raven | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Thompson | 35 | 9-11 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Candace Parker | 32 | 12-17 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 34 | - |
| N. Quinn | 28 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -4 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 26 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 21 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| L. Wisdom-Hylton | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Riley | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| B. Lennox | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Stansbury | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter