Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✗ (27.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +26 (105-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Monica Wright * | 27 | 3-15 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -2 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Nicky Anosike * | 26 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Charde Houston | 25 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Rashanda McCants | 24 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Nuria Martinez | 20 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Quanitra Hollingsworth | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renee Montgomery * | 30 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 28 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Anete Jekabsone-Zogota * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tan White | 20 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Allison Hightower | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kerri Gardin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter