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2010-05-25

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Tulsa Shock Spread Result
Elo 75.9% 24.1% -
Bradley-Terry 68.6% 31.4% -
Margin 80.7% 19.3% -7.9 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 76.9% 23.1% -

Actual: Tulsa Shock -14 (96-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Taurasi 35 10-17 8-13 7-8 5 1 2 0 4 35 22 -
P. Taylor 33 9-19 6-12 5-6 6 7 0 0 3 29 20 -
T. Smith 29 4-13 1-2 0-0 7 1 1 2 1 9 6 -
T. Johnson 28 2-7 0-5 0-0 4 4 0 0 4 4 1 -
C. Dupree 28 6-9 0-0 2-2 14 4 4 1 2 14 26 -
D. Bonner 25 3-7 0-1 4-6 7 4 1 1 1 10 15 -
K. Swanier 12 2-5 1-2 2-5 2 5 1 0 2 7 8 -
N. Ohlde 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
S. Holmes 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Tulsa Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Black 29 5-7 0-0 2-6 12 1 1 0 3 12 16 -
N. Lacy 28 4-8 0-0 1-2 8 7 1 0 4 9 13 -
A. Holt 27 6-9 0-3 8-9 2 2 0 1 0 20 16 -
S. Crossley 27 5-15 3-7 0-1 2 4 1 0 1 13 4 -
S. Dorrell 24 6-10 0-1 1-1 2 2 2 0 2 13 7 -
A. Hornbuckle 20 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 6 0 1 2 5 7 -
K. Braxton 15 4-9 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 1 3 8 6 -
P. Pierson 10 4-6 0-0 3-3 1 1 0 0 2 11 5 -
S. Zellous 10 1-6 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -3 -
A. Thompson 8 0-2 0-0 3-4 2 1 1 0 0 3 5 -
M. Jones 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter