Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Tulsa Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.7% | 19.3% | -7.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tulsa Shock -14 (96-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 10-17 | 8-13 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 22 | - |
| P. Taylor | 33 | 9-19 | 6-12 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 20 | - |
| T. Smith | 29 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Johnson | 28 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Dupree | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 26 | - |
| D. Bonner | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| K. Swanier | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Holmes | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Black | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| N. Lacy | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | - |
| A. Holt | 27 | 6-9 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| S. Crossley | 27 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 24 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Braxton | 15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| P. Pierson | 10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| S. Zellous | 10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| A. Thompson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter