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New York Liberty 61
@
Washington Mystics 77
2010-05-21

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 46.0% 54.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.7% 56.3% - ✓
Margin 38.6% 61.4% +2.6 ✓ (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 46.0% 54.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% - ✓

Actual: Washington Mystics +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 37 3-11 2-4 2-2 7 2 3 0 2 10 9 -
C. Pondexter 35 4-10 0-1 6-6 2 8 2 0 3 14 13 -
J. McCarville 30 5-9 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 2 4 10 4 -
Leilani Mitchell 30 2-7 0-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 4 0 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 26 3-8 0-2 2-2 4 1 2 0 4 8 3 -
Kia Vaughn 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
E. Carson 11 3-6 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 7 1 -
T. Jackson-Jones 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
K. Greene 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Blue 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 4 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 38 7-11 1-1 6-9 4 3 2 0 9 21 10 -
C. Langhorne 34 4-7 0-0 2-2 11 2 0 1 1 10 16 -
K. Smith 33 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 1 0 4 -
M. Currie 27 6-12 2-4 4-5 5 1 2 1 1 18 14 -
N. Sanford 21 3-6 0-0 4-6 3 0 1 0 2 10 6 -
M. Coleman 18 1-5 0-3 1-1 1 1 0 1 1 3 0 -
C. Melvin 13 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 6 6 -
M. Ajavon 10 2-4 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 7 3 -
J. Monroe 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Houts 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter