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2010-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 10.0% 90.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.2% 61.8% -
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 1.5% 98.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.6% 89.4% -
Log Adjusted 10.2% 89.8% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Nash 40 2-7 1-3 3-3 3 3 3 0 0 8 10 -
J. Shurna 37 9-17 1-4 7-9 4 1 0 0 2 26 12 -
M. Thompson 37 2-3 0-0 4-4 0 0 0 0 2 8 3 -
D. Crawford 32 3-6 0-2 2-4 3 3 0 0 0 8 8 -
L. Mirkovic 22 3-5 1-2 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 8 8 -
D. Curletti 18 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
M. Capocci 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Marcotullio 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bohannon 40 6-9 3-6 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 17 12 -
J. Taylor 39 4-9 2-5 6-7 2 4 1 0 4 16 10 -
T. Hughes 28 3-8 2-7 5-6 5 2 1 0 3 13 10 -
T. Jarmusz 28 0-2 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
J. Leuer 22 3-5 0-0 5-8 4 0 0 3 0 11 13 -
K. Nankivil 18 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 2 0 6 8 -
M. Bruesewitz 14 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
R. Wilson 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Evans 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -

* = starter