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2010-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 9.5% 90.5% -
Bradley-Terry 16.3% 83.7% -
Margin 8.4% 91.6% +13.2 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% -
Log Adjusted 5.0% 95.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hudson 39 3-12 0-4 6-6 5 0 0 0 1 12 4 -
M. Delaney 37 5-19 2-9 7-8 2 3 3 0 4 19 4 -
T. Bell 27 2-2 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 4 10 -
V. Davila 26 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
J. Allen 19 4-10 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 3 2 8 3 -
J. Thompson 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
E. Green 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Raines 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
L. Witcher 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
B. Boggs 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler 40 7-15 4-9 7-7 10 0 2 1 0 25 23 -
J. Scheyer 40 4-19 3-11 4-5 3 7 1 0 2 15 5 -
N. Smith 39 6-17 3-6 8-11 3 1 0 0 2 23 8 -
L. Thomas 30 0-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 0 3 -
B. Zoubek 29 1-1 0-0 1-1 16 2 1 1 3 3 19 -
M. Plumlee 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 1 1 -
A. Dawkins 6 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5 -
M. Plumlee 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Kelly 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter