Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Turner | 40 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | - |
| D. Lighty | 40 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| W. Buford | 40 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| J. Diebler | 40 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Lauderdale | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Madsen | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 35 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. Allen | 34 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| R. Morgan | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | - |
| D. Summers | 30 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| D. Green | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Roe | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Lucious | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| G. Sherman | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Nix | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Kebler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter