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2010-02-21

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Holy Cross Crusaders Spread Result
Elo 40.6% 59.4% +1.7 โœ“ (11.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 โœ“ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.6% 73.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“

Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders +13 (64-51). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vlad Moldoveanu 34 2-9 0-5 3-4 3 1 1 1 3 7 1 -
Steve Luptak 33 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 5 7 -
Nick Hendra 33 4-14 2-10 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 10 0 -
Stephen Lumpkins 31 5-7 0-0 6-8 7 2 0 1 1 16 18 -
Simon McCormack 30 4-9 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 8 4 -
Daniel Munoz 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Riley Grafft 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
Joe Hill 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
Matthew Wilson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Blake Jolivette 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Brown 34 3-12 1-4 9-10 4 1 1 0 1 16 9 -
Andrew Keister 34 7-13 0-0 1-3 18 2 2 1 2 15 23 -
Andrew Beinert 32 4-7 0-0 0-1 2 4 1 0 2 8 6 -
Mike Cavataio 31 3-8 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 6 4 -
Eric Meister 30 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
Dee Goens 24 4-7 0-0 2-4 0 1 1 0 0 10 5 -
Eric Obeysekere 14 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
Phil Beans 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter