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2010-05-15

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 29.8% 70.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% - โœ“
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 โœ“ (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“

Actual: Connecticut Sun +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Perkins 31 5-12 0-2 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 11 1 -
Sylvia Fowles 30 6-12 0-0 4-4 9 0 1 2 3 16 13 -
Epiphanny Prince 29 3-12 0-3 1-2 2 2 5 0 6 7 -2 -
C. Kraayeveld 27 3-7 0-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
S. Christon 25 3-8 1-4 4-4 2 4 1 0 0 11 10 -
D. Canty 24 2-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 4 2 -
E. Thorn 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 0 3 -
M. Bass 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 6 -
S. Irvin 8 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Montgomery 31 4-10 1-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 9 2 -
K. Griffin 30 1-7 0-1 6-7 10 3 0 0 4 8 10 -
T. White 26 2-10 2-4 0-0 6 2 1 0 3 6 2 -
Tina Charles 26 7-14 0-0 3-4 10 0 2 1 1 17 15 -
K. Lawson 26 3-7 2-6 2-2 6 3 0 0 0 10 12 -
A. Jekabsone-Zogota 23 6-9 4-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 18 9 -
D. Walker 19 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 4 0 -
K. Gardin 13 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Hightower 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter