Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | +6.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +1 (78-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Milton-Jones | 35 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Parker | 34 | 11-21 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| N. Quinn | 34 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Thompson | 30 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Riley | 28 | 4-14 | 2-10 | 6-7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Lennox | 10 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Stansbury | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Wisdom-Hylton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Toliver | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 34 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| C. Dupree | 33 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 8 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 10-11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 31 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| T. Johnson | 28 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| D. Bonner | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| K. Swanier | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter