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2010-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Green Bay Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 31.8% 68.2% +4.3 โœ“ (3.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 43.1% 56.9% - โœ“
Margin 39.8% 60.2% +2.3 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“

Actual: Green Bay Phoenix +1 (60-59). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Printy 37 0-5 0-3 0-0 4 5 1 0 1 0 4 -
Carl Richard 35 3-12 0-2 1-2 14 2 0 0 1 7 10 -
A. Carter 34 3-8 2-4 4-4 3 0 1 0 1 12 7 -
R. Reed 33 4-11 3-6 2-2 5 1 1 0 4 13 5 -
K. Doluony 23 5-7 2-4 2-2 6 1 0 1 2 14 13 -
Josh Crawford 19 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 4 4 -3 -
I. Martin 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
B. Leitnaker 3 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Cotton 36 1-10 0-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 -3 -
R. Fletcher 35 8-17 4-9 2-2 1 4 2 0 3 22 9 -
R. Berry 34 0-1 0-0 2-4 9 1 0 0 0 2 11 -
B. Perine 34 6-15 1-6 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 15 0 -
R. Pearson 26 7-10 0-0 3-4 4 1 1 1 0 17 14 -
S. Evans 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
P. Nelson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Barkley 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Smith 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter