Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.9% | 95.1% | +16.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats +25 (89-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Morgan | 35 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 6-10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - |
| D. Monroe | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Kilpatrick | 27 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| D. Carson | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Little | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Baldwin | 20 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -7 | - |
| T. Starks | 18 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Lacey | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Tatum | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lillard | 34 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| N. Hansen | 33 | 7-11 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| K. Bullinger | 28 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| S. Panos | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| F. Session | 21 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| L. Hughey | 21 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| D. Mahoney | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Morris | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Washington | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Noble | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Larson | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter