Model Predictions
| Model | Akron Zips | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.5% | 87.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +11.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +17 (70-53). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Conyers | 34 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| S. McNees | 33 | 3-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -1 | - |
| H. Hitchens | 28 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -2 | - |
| N. Cvetinovic | 25 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. McKnight | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Roberts | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. McKnight | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Z. Marshall | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Bardo | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Steward | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. McClanahan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Carroll | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Burgess | 32 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Rodriguez | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jamie Skeen | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| B. Rozzell | 24 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| E. Nixon | 23 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Theus | 22 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Larry Sanders | 20 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | - |
| T.J. Gwynn | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Saintil | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Pishchalnikov | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Troy Daniels | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Grayson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter